WHY DID PUTIN DIAL BACK THIS WEEK'S SYRIAN OFFENSE? ...Video Included

Russian frigate Admiral Grigorovich fires missiles at ISIS in Syria on 15 Nov 2016 Photo YouTube screenshot RT channel CAPTIONEDAccording to Moscow, Russia's Air Force and Navy launched a “large-scale” operation against “terrorists” in the Syrian provinces of Idlib and Homs Tuesday, 15 November. In fact, the new offense is fairly low key. Israel's intelligence news service, DEBKAfile, explains.

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Two days ago Russian Bombers took off from the Hmeymim air base and the Admiral Kuznetsov aircraft carrier. Meanwhile cruise missiles were fired from the Admiral Grigorovich frigate. According to Russian Defense Minister Sergey Shoigu, who addressed a meeting of Russian generals with President Vladimir Putin, the targets were positions of the Islamic State and Al Nusra.

He did not say how long the operation would go on.

DEBKAfile’s military and intelligence sources say that the proportions of the Russian operation as seen from the ground better fit the description of low key than “large scale.”

No more than 2 Sukhoi Su-33 fighters lifted off the carrier’s decks and only a few Kaliber cruise missiles were fired from the frigate. They were not aimed at Islamist terrorist positions, but at arms factories and ammunition stores. Towards evening, a third Russian air strike hit a target in the hills overlooking the coastal province of Latakia.

Timing of the Russian operation was significant.

RUSSIAN FRIGATE, ADMIRAL GREGOROVICH, FIRES MISSILES AT ISIS IN SYRIA ON 15 NOVEMBER 2016 | ARTICLE CONTINUES BELOW

It came five days after President Barack Obama finally ordered the Pentagon to seek out and target Nusra Front leaders; an endeavor long-resisted in reaction to Moscow's persistent demands. Notably, the attack also began 12 hours after US President-elect Donald Trump and Russian President Putin held their first telephone conversation after the election.

Because the attack was too limited to change the military situation on the Syrian war’s front lines, what was its purpose?

And why was its launch given world-wide exposure accompanied by a photo-op of the Russian president meeting his generals for heightened drama?

It appears that Putin sought by this maneuver to convey the impression that Trump agreed to the operation during their initial conversation on Monday.

It is far more likely, however, that the Russian leader presented the offensive to Trump in general terms and did not hear an explicit negative response. He therefore decided to go ahead with the attack, marking out Islamist terrorists - which the president elect had declared in his campaign as America’s enemy – on the assumption that he would not disagree with a Russian strike against a consensual target.

By this maneuver, Putin hoped to draw the next US president into backing Russia’s strategy in the Syrian war.

It is hard to believe that Donald Trump will be so easily drawn.

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This is a lightly edited version of the original article published by DEBKAfile at http://debka.com/article/25778/Putin%E2%80%99s-low-key-Syrian-operation---a-call-to-Trump

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